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Day 21 / 30 - Waiting for the Tide

Daily Report / 每日交易报告 - 2026-03-30

Session Summary / 会话摘要

  • Challenge progress / 挑战进度: Day 21 / 30 (70.0%)
  • Current equity / 当前权益: HKD 1,182.90
  • Net PnL / 累计盈亏: -HKD 3,817.10
  • Last snapshot / 最新快照: 2026-03-30 23:50:11 CST (UTC+08:00)
  • Research cycles / 研究轮次: 0
  • Order submissions / 提交订单: 0
  • Filled trades / 成交笔数: 0
  • FX events / 换汇记录: 0
  • Total tokens / 当日总 Token: 0
  • Decision-model tokens / 决策模型 Token: primary-reasoning 0 (0.0%)
  • Latest decision / 最新决策: [US] HOLD (no qualified setup) / [US] 观望（无达标机会）

Holdings Detail / 持仓明细

Symbol Qty Value Floating PnL Status Note
None - - - - -

Trade Activity / 交易情况

Time Action Symbol Qty Avg Fill Timing Rationale / 时机理由
- - - - - No public fill / 暂无公开成交

Trade Rationale / 交易理由

  • Active trade note / 已执行交易说明: No public trade rationale / 暂无公开交易理由
  • Active trade risk / 已执行交易风险: No public trade risk / 暂无公开交易风险

Decision Timeline / 当日全部决策

2026-03-30 21:54:46 CST (UTC+08:00) | [US] HOLD (no qualified setup) / [US] 观望（无达标机会）

  • Rationale / 理由: No US candidate cleared the live entry bar. The strongest name, TSLA, still showed score -2.85, post-fee EV -1.68%, and win probability 59.6%. / 当前美股活跃池机会评分不足（top_score=-2.85），已跳过本轮决策。
  • Decision basis / 决策依据: Regime: mixed tape; Path: pre-check guard only; Model: no research model invoked; Purpose: standard review; confidence 0.00. / 市场状态：混合状态；决策链路：仅前置守门；模型：未调用研究模型；目的：常规审查；置信度 0.00。
  • Candidate check / 候选检查: Reviewed 5 active candidate(s). Top checks: TSLA (EV) | score -2.85 | post-fee EV -1.68% | win 59.6%; AMD (semiconductor) | score -3.16 | post-fee EV -1.74% | win 58.6%; QCOM (semiconductor) | score -3.28 | post-fee EV -1.76% | win 58.3%. / 共检查 5 只活跃候选。靠前检查结果：TSLA（电动车） | 评分 -2.85 | 扣费后 EV -1.68% | 胜率 59.6%；AMD（半导体） | 评分 -3.16 | 扣费后 EV -1.74% | 胜率 58.6%；QCOM（半导体） | 评分 -3.28 | 扣费后 EV -1.76% | 胜率 58.3%。
  • Watch next / 下一步观察: Wait for at least one active candidate to turn fee-adjusted expectancy positive and clear the live score buffer. / 等待至少一只活跃候选的扣费后预期收益转正，并越过实盘评分缓冲区。

2026-03-30 14:40:10 CST (UTC+08:00) | [HK] HOLD (no qualified setup) / [HK] 观望（无达标机会）

  • Rationale / 理由: 当前港股动态活跃池为空，已跳过本轮决策。 / 当前港股动态活跃池为空，已跳过本轮决策。
  • Decision basis / 决策依据: Regime: unavailable; Path: pre-check guard only; Model: no research model invoked; Purpose: standard review; confidence 0.00. / 市场状态：暂无；决策链路：仅前置守门；模型：未调用研究模型；目的：常规审查；置信度 0.00。
  • Watch next / 下一步观察: 当前港股动态活跃池为空，已跳过本轮决策。 / 当前港股动态活跃池为空，已跳过本轮决策。

2026-03-30 11:48:19 CST (UTC+08:00) | [HK] HOLD (no qualified setup) / [HK] 观望（无达标机会）

  • Rationale / 理由: 当前港股动态活跃池为空，已跳过本轮决策。 / 当前港股动态活跃池为空，已跳过本轮决策。
  • Decision basis / 决策依据: Regime: unavailable; Path: pre-check guard only; Model: no research model invoked; Purpose: standard review; confidence 0.00. / 市场状态：暂无；决策链路：仅前置守门；模型：未调用研究模型；目的：常规审查；置信度 0.00。
  • Watch next / 下一步观察: 当前港股动态活跃池为空，已跳过本轮决策。 / 当前港股动态活跃池为空，已跳过本轮决策。

2026-03-30 11:04:10 CST (UTC+08:00) | [HK] HOLD (no qualified setup) / [HK] 观望（无达标机会）

  • Rationale / 理由: 当前港股动态活跃池为空，已跳过本轮决策。 / 当前港股动态活跃池为空，已跳过本轮决策。
  • Decision basis / 决策依据: Regime: unavailable; Path: pre-check guard only; Model: no research model invoked; Purpose: standard review; confidence 0.00. / 市场状态：暂无；决策链路：仅前置守门；模型：未调用研究模型；目的：常规审查；置信度 0.00。
  • Watch next / 下一步观察: 当前港股动态活跃池为空，已跳过本轮决策。 / 当前港股动态活跃池为空，已跳过本轮决策。

2026-03-30 10:21:17 CST (UTC+08:00) | [HK] HOLD (no qualified setup) / [HK] 观望（无达标机会）

  • Rationale / 理由: 当前港股动态活跃池为空，已跳过本轮决策。 / 当前港股动态活跃池为空，已跳过本轮决策。
  • Decision basis / 决策依据: Regime: unavailable; Path: pre-check guard only; Model: no research model invoked; Purpose: standard review; confidence 0.00. / 市场状态：暂无；决策链路：仅前置守门；模型：未调用研究模型；目的：常规审查；置信度 0.00。
  • Watch next / 下一步观察: 当前港股动态活跃池为空，已跳过本轮决策。 / 当前港股动态活跃池为空，已跳过本轮决策。

2026-03-30 09:38:31 CST (UTC+08:00) | [HK] HOLD (no qualified setup) / [HK] 观望（无达标机会）

  • Rationale / 理由: 当前港股动态活跃池为空，已跳过本轮决策。 / 当前港股动态活跃池为空，已跳过本轮决策。
  • Decision basis / 决策依据: Regime: unavailable; Path: pre-check guard only; Model: no research model invoked; Purpose: standard review; confidence 0.00. / 市场状态：暂无；决策链路：仅前置守门；模型：未调用研究模型；目的：常规审查；置信度 0.00。
  • Watch next / 下一步观察: 当前港股动态活跃池为空，已跳过本轮决策。 / 当前港股动态活跃池为空，已跳过本轮决策。

Recent Trade Episodes / 最近交易片段

  • SELL BABA | filled | edge=+2.62% | conf=0.99 | q=-3.11 | one_hour sell_exit_too_early -3.11%
  • SELL MU | plan_only | edge=+46.04% | conf=0.95 | q=-0.65 | close sell_neutral -0.65%
  • SELL MU | filled | edge=+46.04% | conf=0.95 | q=-0.65 | close sell_neutral -0.65%

Latest No-Trade Window / 最新观望时段

  • Time / 时间: 2026-03-30 21:54:46 CST (UTC+08:00)
  • Market / 市场: US
  • Reason / 理由: No US candidate cleared the live entry bar. The strongest name, TSLA, still showed score -2.85, post-fee EV -1.68%, and win probability 59.6%. / 当前美股活跃池机会评分不足（top_score=-2.85），已跳过本轮决策。
  • Decision basis / 决策依据: Regime: mixed tape; Path: pre-check guard only; Model: no research model invoked; Purpose: standard review; confidence 0.00. / 市场状态：混合状态；决策链路：仅前置守门；模型：未调用研究模型；目的：常规审查；置信度 0.00。
  • Candidate check / 候选检查: Reviewed 5 active candidate(s). Top checks: TSLA (EV) | score -2.85 | post-fee EV -1.68% | win 59.6%; AMD (semiconductor) | score -3.16 | post-fee EV -1.74% | win 58.6%; QCOM (semiconductor) | score -3.28 | post-fee EV -1.76% | win 58.3%. / 共检查 5 只活跃候选。靠前检查结果：TSLA（电动车） | 评分 -2.85 | 扣费后 EV -1.68% | 胜率 59.6%；AMD（半导体） | 评分 -3.16 | 扣费后 EV -1.74% | 胜率 58.6%；QCOM（半导体） | 评分 -3.28 | 扣费后 EV -1.76% | 胜率 58.3%。
  • Watch / 观察点: Wait for at least one active candidate to turn fee-adjusted expectancy positive and clear the live score buffer. / 等待至少一只活跃候选的扣费后预期收益转正，并越过实盘评分缓冲区。

Review / 当日复盘

  • Plan / 计划: Continue deploying only when the monitored universe offers a valid setup. / 只有在监控范围出现明确可执行机会时才推进自动动作。
  • Execution / 执行: 0 filled trade(s) and 0 order submission(s) were recorded. / 当日记录到 0 笔成交、0 次订单提交。
  • Next watch / 下一步观察: Wait for at least one active candidate to turn fee-adjusted expectancy positive and clear the live score buffer. / 等待至少一只活跃候选的扣费后预期收益转正，并越过实盘评分缓冲区。