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Growth Constraint Modeler

A live unit-economics calculator for AI agencies scaling with paid ads. Move the sliders to find the single constraint holding back profitable growth — the metric that swings net profit hardest is the one to solve for first.

Growth Constraint Modeler

The idea

When an agency owner wants growth and uses ads as the vehicle, "should I spend more?" is the wrong question. The right question is: which constraint is capping my economics right now — acquisition cost, show rate, close rate, churn, delivery cost, or volume?

This tool makes that visible. Set your real funnel numbers as the baseline, then drag one slider at a time and watch every downstream metric recompute live. The lever that flips monthly net profit from red to black is your constraint.

Inputs (sliders)

Slider Meaning
CPQBC Cost Per Qualified Booked Call — your blended ad cost to book one qualified call
Show Rate % of booked calls that actually show
Close Rate % of shown calls that close
Churn Rate (monthly) % of clients lost per month
Monthly COGS Delivery / fulfillment cost per client per month
Booked Calls / month Top-of-funnel volume

Plus three offer/target fields: monthly price, minimum term, and your target LGP:CAC ratio.

The model

Every output is derived from the sliders — no magic numbers.

closeProb       = showRate × closeRate          // a booked call → a client
newClients/mo   = bookedCalls × closeProb
adSpend/mo      = bookedCalls × CPQBC
CAC             = CPQBC ÷ closeProb              // = adSpend ÷ newClients
retention (mo)  = 1 ÷ churnRate

monthlyRevenue  = newClients × price
monthlyCOGS     = newClients × COGS
monthlyNetProfit= monthlyRevenue − monthlyCOGS − adSpend
monthlyROAS     = monthlyRevenue ÷ adSpend
dayOneCashROAS  = price ÷ CAC

lifetimeGrossProfit (LGP) = (price − COGS) × retention
profitPerClient = LGP − CAC
grossMargin     = (price − COGS) ÷ price
profitMargin    = profitPerClient ÷ (price × retention)
LGP:CAC         = LGP ÷ CAC

recommendedPrice = (targetRatio × CAC ÷ retention) + COGS   // price to hit your target LGP:CAC

LGP:CAC is the headline health metric. A 3:1 is survivable; 10:1+ means you can pour fuel on the fire. If you're below target, the Recommended Price Point card tells you the price that would get you there at your current funnel metrics — or you go fix a slider instead.

Run locally

It's a static site — no build step.

# any static server works
python3 -m http.server 4178
# then open http://localhost:4178

Deploy

Deploys to Vercel as a static site with zero config (vercel.json included). The repo is connected to the Vercel project, so every push to master auto-deploys to production.

Live: https://ad-economics-calculator.vercel.app

Files

  • index.html — structure
  • style.css — dark dashboard theme
  • app.js — the model + slider wiring (this is where the math lives)

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Live unit-economics calculator for AI agencies scaling with paid ads — move the sliders to find the growth constraint to solve for.

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